Published papers

Background/objectives: The association between autoimmune pancreatitis (AIP) and pancreatic cancer (PC) remains controversial. This study aimed to clarify the long-term prognosis and risk of malignancies in AIP patients in Japan. Methods: We conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study on 1364 patients with type 1 AIP from 20 institutions in Japan. We calculated the standardized incidence ratio (SIR) for malignancies compared to that in the general population. We analyzed factors associated with overall survival, pancreatic exocrine insufficiency, diabetes mellitus, and osteoporosis. Results: The SIR for all malignancies was increased (1.21 [95 % confidence interval: 1.05–1.41]) in patients with AIP. Among all malignancies, the SIR was highest for PC (3.22 [1.99–5.13]) and increased within 2 years and after 5 years of AIP diagnosis. Steroid use for ≥6 months and ≥50 months increased the risk of subsequent development of diabetes mellitus and osteoporosis, respectively. Age ≥65 years at AIP diagnosis (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.73) and the development of malignancies (HR = 2.63), including PC (HR = 7.81), were associated with a poor prognosis, whereas maintenance steroid therapy was associated with a better prognosis (HR = 0.35) in the multivariate analysis. Maintenance steroid therapy was associated with a better prognosis even after propensity score matching for age and sex. Conclusions: Patients with AIP are at increased risk of developing malignancy, especially PC. PC is a critical prognostic factor for patients with AIP. Although maintenance steroid therapy negatively impacts diabetes mellitus and osteoporosis, it is associated with decreased cancer risk and improved overall survival.

Background: Fluid resuscitation is fundamental in acute pancreatitis (AP) treatment. However, the optimal choice between normal saline (NS) and Ringer's solution (RS), and its impact on mortality in critically ill patients, remains controversial. This retrospective cohort study, utilizing a national Japanese inpatient database, investigates this question. Methods: Using the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database between July 2010 and March 2021, we identified adult patients hospitalized in intensive care units (ICU) or high-dependency care units (HDU) for AP who survived at least three days and received sufficient fluid resuscitation (≥ [10 ml/kg/hr*1 h + 1 ml/kg/hr*71 h] ml) within three days of admission including emergency room infusions. Patients were classified into groups based on the predominant fluid type received: the NS group (> 80% normal saline) and the RS group (> 80% Ringer's solution). Propensity score matching was employed to reduce potential confounding factors and facilitate a balanced comparison of in-hospital mortality between the two groups. Results: Our analysis included 8710 patients with AP. Of these, 657 (7.5%) received predominantly NS, and 8053 (92.5%) received predominantly RS. Propensity score matching yielded 578 well-balanced pairs for comparison. The NS group demonstrated significantly higher in-hospital mortality than the RS group (12.8% [474/578] vs. 8.5% [49/578]; risk difference, 4.3%; 95% confidence interval, 0.3% to 8.3%). Conclusions: In patients admitted to ICU or HDU with AP receiving adequate fluid resuscitation, RS can be a preferred infusion treatment compared to NS.