Published papers

BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has rapidly and dramatically influenced healthcare across Japan. However, the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on the number of newly diagnosed cancer, surgical treatment, and diagnostic examination for cancer types have not been completely investigated all over Japan. This study aimed to analyze the number of cases before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: This retrospective study was a survey that asked to provide the number of cases diagnosed with gastric, colorectal, lung, breast, and cervical cancer between January 2019 and December 2020. The survey was sent to tertiary healthcare hospitals, including national cancer institutions, university hospitals, and general hospitals, all over Japan. Data obtained from 105 of 486 surveyed hospitals were evaluated, and the number of cases in each quarter in 2020 was compared with that in the equivalent quarter in 2019. RESULTS: In the second quarter (Q2), significant reductions were observed in the median number of newly diagnosed cases from 2019 to 2020: gastric cancer, 26.7% (43 vs. 32, p <  0.001); colorectal cancer, 17.9% (52 vs. 40, p <  0.001); lung cancer, 12.3% (53.5 vs. 47, p <  0.001); and breast cancer, 13.1% (43 vs. 35.5, p <  0.001). A significant reduction of 11.4% (9 vs. 8, p = 0.03) was observed in the third quarter (Q3) for cervical cancer. In Q2, the number of cases decreased by 30.9% (25 vs. 15, p <  0.001) for stage I gastric cancer, by 27.3% (12 vs. 9, p <  0.001) for stage I colorectal cancer, and by 17.6% (13 vs. 10, p <  0.001) for stage II breast cancer. The magnitude of reduction was significant for the localized stages of gastric, colorectal, and breast cancer according to diagnostic examinations in Q2 and surgical and endoscopic treatment in Q3 rather than that for lung or cervical cancer. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 has prolonged collateral effects on cancer care, including examination, diagnosis, and surgery, with significant effects on gastric cancer, followed by colorectal, lung, breast, and cervical cancer in Japan.

Background: Respiratory symptoms are associated with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outcomes. However, the impacts of upper and lower respiratory symptoms on COVID-19 outcomes in the same population have not been compared. The objective of this study was to characterize upper and lower respiratory symptoms and compare their impacts on outcomes of hospitalized COVID-19 patients. Methods: This was a multicenter, retrospective cohort study; the database from the Japan COVID-19 Task Force was used. A total of 3314 COVID-19 patients were included in the study, and the data on respiratory symptoms were collected. The participants were classified according to their respiratory symptoms (Group 1: no respiratory symptoms, Group 2: only upper respiratory symptoms, Group 3: only lower respiratory symptoms, and Group 4: both upper and lower respiratory symptoms). The impacts of upper and lower respiratory symptoms on the clinical outcomes were compared. The primary outcome was the percentage of patients with poor clinical outcomes, including the need for oxygen supplementation via high-flow oxygen therapy, mechanical ventilation, and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation or death. Results: Of the 3314 COVID-19 patients, 605, 1331, 1229, and 1149 were classified as Group 1, Group 2, Group 3, and Group 4, respectively. In univariate analysis, patients in Group 2 had the best clinical outcomes among all groups (odds ratio [OR]: 0.21, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.11–0.39), while patients in Group 3 had the worst outcomes (OR: 3.27, 95% CI: 2.43–4.40). Group 3 patients had the highest incidence of pneumonia, other complications due to secondary infections, and thrombosis during the clinical course. Conclusions: Upper and lower respiratory tract symptoms had vastly different impacts on the clinical outcomes of COVID-19.

An intradialytic systolic blood pressure (SBP) decline, which defines intradialytic hypotension, may be associated with higher all-cause mortality. However, in Japanese patients on hemodialysis (HD), the association between intradialytic SBP decline and patient outcomes is unclear. This retrospective cohort study included 307 Japanese patients undergoing HD over 1 year in three dialysis clinics and evaluated the association between the mean annual intradialytic SBP decline (predialysis SBP-nadir intradialytic SBP) and clinical outcomes, including major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs; cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction or unstable angina, stroke, heart failure, and other severe cardiovascular events requiring hospitalization) by following up for 2 years. The mean annual intradialytic SBP decline was 24.2 (25-75th percentile, 18.3-35.0) mmHg. In the model fully adjusted for intradialytic SBP decline tertile group (T1, <20.4 mmHg; T2, 20.4 to <29.9 mmHg; T3, ≥29.9 mmHg), predialysis SBP, age, sex, HD vintage, Charlson comorbidity index, ultrafiltration rate, use of renin-angiotensin system inhibitors, corrected calcium, phosphorus, human atrial natriuretic peptide, geriatric nutritional risk index, normalized protein catabolism rate, C-reactive protein, hemoglobin, and use of pressor agents, Cox regression analyses showed that the hazard ratio (HR) was significantly higher for T3 than for T1 for MACEs (HR, 2.38; 95% confidence interval 1.12-5.09) and all-cause hospitalization (HR, 1.68; 95% confidence interval 1.03-2.74). Therefore, in Japanese patients on HD, a greater intradialytic SBP decline was associated with worse clinical outcomes. Further studies are warranted to investigate whether interventions to attenuate the intradialytic SBP decline will improve the prognosis of Japanese patients on HD.

Background Balloon pulmonary angioplasty (BPA) improves exercise tolerance and hemodynamic parameters in patients with chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension. However, it is still unclear which patient characteristics contribute to the improvement in exercise tolerance after BPA in chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension. Methods and Results We retrospectively analyzed 126 patients with chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (aged 63±14 years; female, 65%) who underwent BPA without concomitant programmed exercise rehabilitation at Keio University between November 2012 and April 2018. Hemodynamic data and 6-minute walk distance (6MWD), as a measure of exercise tolerance, were evaluated before and 1 year after BPA. The clinical characteristics that contributed to improvement in exercise tolerance were elucidated. The 6MWD significantly increased from 372.0 m (256.5-431.3) to 462.0 m (378.8-537.0) 1 year after BPA (P<0.001). The improvement rate in the 6MWD after BPA exhibited a good correlation with age, height, mean pulmonary artery pressure, and 6MWD at baseline (Spearman rank correlation coefficients=-0.28, 0.24, -0.40, and 0.44, respectively). Additional multivariable linear regression analysis revealed that young age, tall height, high mean pulmonary artery pressure, short 6MWD at baseline, and high lung capacity at baseline were significant predictors of the improvement in 6MWD by BPA (standardized partial regression coefficient -0.39, 0.22, 0.19, -0.62, and 0.25, P<0.001, 0.007, 0.011, <0.001, and <0.001, respectively). Conclusions BPA without concomitant programmed exercise rehabilitation significantly improves exercise tolerance. This was particularly true in young patients with high stature, high mean pulmonary artery pressure, short 6MWD, and lung capacity at the time of diagnosis.

Background: Efficacy of combination therapy with methotrexate and biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs is well established in the management of patients with rheumatoid arthritis; however, the optimal dose of methotrexate to administer with a tumour necrosis factor inhibitor remains unclear. We aimed to clarify the efficacy and safety of adalimumab combined with reduced methotrexate dose compared with the maximum tolerated methotrexate dose in patients with rheumatoid arthritis and an inadequate response to methotrexate monotherapy. Methods: In this open-label, randomised controlled trial, we recruited methotrexate-naive patients with rheumatoid arthritis and a disease duration of less than 2 years across 24 secondary or tertiary care hospitals across Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan. At initiation, methotrexate was given orally and increased to the maximum tolerated dose by week 12. Patients who did not achieve remission on the basis of the Simplified Disease Activity Index (SDAI) at week 24 were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive adalimumab (40 mg biweekly) combined with a continued maximum tolerated dose of methotrexate or adalimumab combined with a reduced dose of methotrexate. The primary endpoint was non-inferiority of adalimumab plus reduced-dose methotrexate to adalimumab plus maximal-dose methotrexate based on SDAI remission at week 48, assessed in the modified full-analysis set with a pre-specified non-inferiority margin of −15%, based on a two-sided 90% CI. Adverse events were assessed in the safety analysis set. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03505008 and has been completed. Findings: From April 18, 2018, to June 2, 2020, from 323 patients screened, 300 were enrolled, and 291 patients were included in the full analysis set. The mean age was 57·7 years (SD 15·2), 217 (75%) were female, 74 (25%) were male, and all patients were of Asian ethnicity. The mean SDAI at study enrolment was 26·5 (SD 12·4). 52 patients discontinued the study before week 24 or at week 24 before randomisation. At week 24, 105 (36%) of 291 patients achieved remission and continued methotrexate monotherapy through week 48. 134 (46%) did not achieve remission at week 24 and were randomly assigned to receive adalimumab plus the maximum tolerated dose of methotrexate (n=68) or adalimumab plus reduced-dose methotrexate (n=66). Remission at week 48 was achieved in 25 (38%) of 66 and 27 (44%) of 61 patients, respectively, with an adjusted risk difference of 6·4% (90% CI −7·0 to 19·8), which met the non-inferiority margin of −15%. Adverse events after week 24 tended to be more frequent in the maximum tolerated dose group than in the reduced-dose group (24 [35%] vs 13 [20%], p=0·054). Between week 24 and 48, there were 14 serious adverse events (6 in the methotrexate monotherapy group, 5 in the adalimumab plus maximal-dose methotrexate, and 3 in the adalimumab plus reduced-dose methotrexate group), and no deaths. Interpretation: The MIRACLE study showed that the efficacy of adalimumab combined with reduced methotrexate dose was not inferior to that with the maximum tolerated methotrexate dose, with a tendency to a better safety profile. Funding: Eisai.

PURPOSE: We examined cancer screening practices and related beliefs in cancer survivors and individuals with family or close friends with a cancer diagnosis compared to individuals without the above cancer history for 5 population-based (gastric, colorectal, lung, breast, cervical) and 1 opportunistic (prostate) cancer screenings using nationally representative cross-sectional survey in Japan. METHODS: We analyzed 3269 data from 3605 respondents (response rate, 37.1%) and compared the screening beliefs and practices of cancer survivors (n = 391), individuals with family members (n = 1674), and close friends with a cancer diagnosis (n = 685) to those without any cancer history (n = 519). RESULTS: Being a cancer survivor was associated with screening for gastric (OR, 1.75; 95% CI, 1.04-2.95), colorectal (OR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.03-2.36), and lung cancer (OR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.10-2.66) but not breast, cervical cancer or PSA test. Having a family cancer diagnosis was associated with colorectal and lung cancer screening. Having friends with a cancer diagnosis was associated with PSA test. Cancer survivors and family members perceived themselves as being more susceptible and worried about getting cancer than individuals without any cancer history. Cancer survivors strongly believed screening can detect cancer and were more likely to undergo screening. Subgroup analysis indicated an interrelation between gastric and colorectal cancer screening among survivors. CONCLUSIONS: A cancer diagnosis in oneself or family or friend influences an individual's health-related belief and risk perception, which can increase the likelihood of cancer screening. IMPLICATIONS FOR CANCER SURVIVORS: Targeted and tailored communication strategies can increase awareness of cancer screening.

PURPOSE: Recent reports suggest that postoperative cerebral infarction following lung cancer surgery is caused by thrombus formation at the stump of the pulmonary vein and that the risk is highest after left upper lobectomy (LUL). Thrombosis at the stump of the pulmonary vein and the incidence of cerebral infarction was investigated prospectively in patients who underwent lobectomy for lung cancer. METHODS: Lung cancer patients undergoing planned pulmonary lobectomy were enrolled. The endpoint was to confirm if there is a higher incidence of thrombus formation (primary) and a higher incidence of cerebral infarction (secondary) in patients undergoing LUL. We planned to accrue 600 patients. An interim analysis was scheduled for just after the data center received the final clinical review form of the 300th patient. RESULTS: The interim analysis revealed a significant difference in the primary endpoint. In the final analysis, thrombus was identified in 16 of 88 LUL patients (20.5%), and in 4 of 247 patients who underwent other types of lobectomy (1.6%) (p < 0.05). Cerebral infarction was identified in 1 of the LUL patients (1.3%) and in 9 of the other patients (3.6%) (p = 0.318). CONCLUSIONS: Thrombus frequently forms at the stump of the left superior pulmonary vein after LUL. However, our study did not identify a relationship between thrombosis and cerebral infarction.

PURPOSE: To develop a predictive score for small diaphragmatic defects in infants with congenital diaphragmatic hernia (CDH) for determining thoracoscopic surgery indication. METHODS: The Japanese CDH Study Group cohort was randomly divided into derivation (n = 397) and validation (n = 396) datasets. Using logistic regression, a prediction model and weighted scoring system for small diaphragmatic defects were created from derivation dataset and validated with validation dataset. RESULTS: Six weighted variables were selected: no hydramnios, 1 point; 1 min Apgar score of 5-10, 1 point; apex type of the lung (left lung is detected radiographically in apex area), 1 point; oxygenation index < 8, 1 point; abdominal nasogastric tube (tip of the nasogastric tube is detected radiographically in the abdominal area), 2 points; no right-to-left flow of ductus arteriosus, 1 point. In validation dataset, rates of small diaphragmatic defects for Possible (0-3 points), Probable (4-5 points), and Definite (6-7 points) groups were 36%, 81%, and 94%, respectively (p < 0.001). Additionally, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and C statistics were 0.78, 0.79, 0.88, 0.76, and 0.45, 0.94, 0.94, 0.70 for Probable and Definite groups, respectively. CONCLUSION: Our scoring system effectively predicted small diaphragmatic defects in infants with CDH.

BACKGROUND: Long-term placement of prophylactic drains can result in retrograde infections. AIM: We aimed to investigate the association between the timing of drain removal and clinical outcomes. METHODS: This retrospective, single-center cohort study evaluated 110 patients who underwent elective gastrointestinal or hepatopancreatobiliary surgery and developed subsequent organ/space surgical site infection (SSI) between 2016 and 2020. We evaluated the difference between the culture-positive species of prophylactic drains and direct aspiration, whether the prophylactic drains functioned effectively at the time of SSI diagnosis, and whether the empirical antibiotics administered before drainage were able to treat all the detected bacteria. Finally, clinical outcomes were compared between early (i.e. cases wherein the prophylactic drain had already been removed or replaced at the time of SSI diagnosis) and late (removal after diagnosis) drain removal. FINDINGS: The prophylactic drains functioned effectively in only 27 (25%) patients at the time of SSI diagnosis. Due to the results of direct aspiration cultures, 43% of patients required antibiotic escalation. The median time to drain removal or first replacement was seven postoperative days. The early removal group included 43 patients (39%). Compared with early removal, late removal resulted in a higher frequency of vancomycin use (7.0% versus 22.4%; P = 0.037). CONCLUSIONS: Prolonged prophylactic drain placement is associated with complicated infections requiring vancomycin, therefore, the drains should be removed as soon as possible. Additionally, obtaining the cultures of direct aspiration should be actively considered, as escalation of antimicrobial therapy is often performed based on culture results.