Keio University

Kaori Muto: Considering the Ethical Challenges Remaining for the Next Pandemic

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  • Kaori Muto

    Other : Professor, Department of Public Policy, The Institute of Medical Science, The University of Tokyo

    Keio University alumni

    Kaori Muto

    Other : Professor, Department of Public Policy, The Institute of Medical Science, The University of Tokyo

    Keio University alumni

2024/01/19

Moving to "Class 5 Infectious Disease" While Leaving Ethical Challenges Behind

I am a researcher in the humanities who has been involved in COVID-19 countermeasures by the government and the Tokyo iCDC (Tokyo Center for Infectious Disease Control and Prevention) since the beginning of the outbreak. Usually, I research the ethical, legal, and social issues (referred to as ELSI) involved in developing new medical treatments, as well as creating environments where patients and citizens can contribute to creating better medical care together (referred to as Patient and Public Involvement). However, at 9:00 a.m. on February 3, 2020, I received a phone call from the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, and became involved in COVID-19 countermeasures.

As I was neither a virologist nor a medical professional, I believe I was a unique presence, and I myself worried about how I should conduct myself. However, I have tried to advise the government and the Tokyo Metropolitan Government on matters such as how to allocate limited ventilators, preventing prejudice and discrimination against infected persons, their families, and medical workers, and risk communication (the activity of disseminating risk information and listening to the voices of those who receive it).

As of May 8, 2023, the classification of COVID-19 under the Infectious Diseases Control Law was changed from "Pandemic Influenza and Other New Infectious Diseases" to "Class 5 Infectious Disease." This change means: (1) the government will no longer uniformly request basic infection control measures in daily life; (2) there will no longer be requests for COVID-positive individuals and close contacts to refrain from going out based on the Infectious Diseases Control Law; (3) medical consultations will be available at a wide range of medical institutions; and (4) health insurance will apply to medical expenses, with a basic 10% to 30% co-payment, though public support will continue for a certain period (from the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare website "Regarding the response after the transition of COVID-19 to Class 5 Infectious Disease"). Regarding vaccinations, they can be received without out-of-pocket costs until the end of this fiscal year, but eventually, co-payments will likely be required just like other vaccines. The government task force has already disbanded, and many measures have ended. Compared to other developed countries, however, this was a cautious easing of measures that was about a year late.

However, "Class 5 Infectious Disease" became a representation that went beyond its legal classification. As soon as it became a "Class 5 Infectious Disease," the pandemic alert mode that had spread to every corner of society for about three and a half years was lifted all at once. This included self-restraint and measures that experts had recommended at the beginning of the pandemic when nothing was known, from the perspective of taking every possible step, but which became unnecessary over time. It seems that the label "Class 5 Infectious Disease" was just right for ending ineffective measures and self-restraint that raised concerns about long-term harm all at once.

Of course, even if it becomes a "Class 5 Infectious Disease," the virus and the disease do not disappear. However, many people are driven by the feeling that they do not want to remember those three and a half years anymore and want to forget. Therefore, there is a concern about what will happen if we plunge into the next pandemic as we are. This is because ethical challenges for the next pandemic have hardly been considered. In this article, I would like to list three concerns that I hope you will consider as your own business.

To Whom Should Limited Medical Resources Be Allocated?

In other developed countries, the basic rule is to stay in bed at home if you get the flu. In contrast, Japan had a medical system rare among developed countries where, if you catch the flu, you can immediately visit any clinic and be prescribed anti-influenza drugs. Therefore, people had no tolerance for a situation where the medical consultations they had taken for granted were restricted, and criticism from the media was strong. The government also did not clearly declare the necessity of prioritization.

However, in the event of a rapid increase in the number of patients, if there is a possibility that the medical delivery system will be strained, prioritization must be carried out regarding who to treat first. As a result of the government not asking citizens for their understanding and cooperation regarding this necessity, the judgment was left to each region or individual medical institution. Of course, final discretion should be left to the medical institutions. However, since the government did not clearly state a basic approach, the profile of patients to be prioritized differed by region. In some regions, priority was given to elderly people living alone with respiratory distress, while in other regions, the priority was lowered depending on the patient's age or level of care required.

Furthermore, if a large number of severely ill patients occur at once, the intensive care delivery system will be limited, and a decision must be made on whose life to save. Various discussions are possible, such as whether to start with those with the highest survival rate, whether to go in the order the ambulances arrived, or whether to remove the device from someone already on a ventilator if a later-arriving patient has a higher survival rate. Leaving such decisions to medical workers placed in harsh environments could create a sense of unfairness for patients and families, and it also places a heavy burden on medical workers.

The "Advance Care Planning" (ACP) recommended by the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare is "an initiative to think in advance about the medical care and care you desire for 'just in case' situations, and to repeatedly discuss and share this with family and medical/care teams." While we do not know when, where, or how we might fall ill and hover between life and death, medical resources are limited. Having experienced various things now, is it not necessary to think about the next pandemic and exchange opinions with those close to us? Doing so will also lead to helping the Japanese medical system.

Visitation Restrictions That Persist Aimlessly

The second challenge is visitation restrictions at medical institutions and facilities. There are likely places where they still continue today. It also raises fears that things may never return to the way they were before. Visitation restrictions were written into the government's basic response policy at the beginning of April 2020, but in January 2021, a note was added to consider the "QOL of patients and families," and in November 2022, this was changed to consideration for having in-person visits. Currently, the situation is left to the judgment of individual medical institutions and facilities. Reasons cited for supporting visitation restrictions at medical institutions and facilities include: (1) the need for nosocomial infection prevention including for inpatients; (2) the burden on medical professionals regarding visitation coordination; (3) the nature of the virus, which makes infection control difficult; and (4) the perspective of fairness to the public. However, considering (1) the perspective that there are things that cannot be obtained without visiting, (2) the importance of family in providing medical care and care, and (3) concerns about rigid responses, it can be said to be a serious ethical dilemma (Masayuki Tanaka (2022)). Especially for families caring for people with severe disabilities, visitation restrictions mean a significant drop in the quality of life not only for the individual but also for the family. A suspension of thought saying "it can't be helped at a time like this" and indifference to the suffering of each individual may be allowing aimless visitation restrictions to persist (Mami Kodama (2023)).

In the first place, because visitation for inpatients and residents is not established as a right of the individual in Japan, the resolution of the dilemma is thought to be left to individual medical institutions and facilities. It is not desirable for that state to continue, and at some point, a factual investigation or the presentation of a policy by the government will be necessary. And I believe that we, too, should not just think it couldn't be helped, but that it is okay to be more angry.

Development of Domestic Vaccines and Securing Volunteers

The third challenge is the development of domestic vaccines. COVID-19 vaccines were developed by overseas manufacturers, and the Japanese government negotiated to secure large-scale imports. Recently, the manufacture and sale of vaccines with fewer side effects, involving domestic companies, have been approved and have come into use. However, the fact that they could not be developed rapidly within the country from the beginning of the pandemic remains a point of reflection.

When developing pharmaceuticals, clinical trials must be conducted to test the safety and efficacy of the drug under development in humans. Clinical trials for pharmaceuticals are broadly divided into: (1) the stage of administering to healthy people to confirm safety such as metabolism and toxicity in the body; (2) the stage of administering to a small number of patients to confirm efficacy; and (3) the stage of administering to many patients to confirm efficacy. Volunteers who cooperate in these are essential.

A clinical trial method attracting attention in this context is the Controlled Human Infection Model (CHIM), where healthy people are intentionally made to fall ill. For example, clinical trials are conducted where volunteers are exposed to large amounts of pollen to develop hay fever to confirm the effects of a therapeutic drug under development. In human challenge trials, it is necessary to promptly restore the health of volunteers who have been artificially made ill. Therefore, the principle is that they are only permitted to be conducted when other therapeutic drugs already exist.

In the development of vaccines for COVID-19 this time, human challenge trials were conducted overseas, and it is said that the ability to promptly confirm efficacy led to early approval. However, even if it was an exceptional situation like a pandemic, vaccine clinical trials that infected volunteers with the virus were conducted at a time when therapeutic drugs had not yet been approved. Criticism of this remains strong even now.

However, what we must consider is that if we aim to develop domestic vaccines, there must be volunteers in Japan who will cooperate in human challenge trials. In the development of COVID-19 vaccines, the discussion of whether human challenge trials should be set up domestically remained taboo, and we relied on overseas volunteers and the import of vaccines produced overseas. Can we really afford to rely entirely on overseas for the next pandemic as well?

In Japan, many clinical trials are conducted, and new pharmaceuticals are born. However, the presence of the volunteers who cooperated in those clinical trials is hard to see. Unless we develop an environment where volunteers are socially respected and their noble intentions are rewarded, as well as a system for generous compensation, we cannot expect rapid vaccine development in the next pandemic.

In this article, I have described three ethical challenges as concerns. While things are calm now that it has become a "Class 5 Infectious Disease," I hope you will think about these from your respective positions and prepare for the next pandemic.

*Affiliations and titles are as of the time this magazine was published.